India’s Trade Gap Reduces

India’s Trade Gap Reduces

17-06-2025

Why in the News?

  1. India’s total trade deficit fell to $6.6 billion in May 2025, which is 30% less than in May 2024.
  2. This happened mainly because:
    1. Oil prices fell, so India had to spend less on oil imports.
    2. Service exports did well, especially in sectors like IT and business services.

TTrade Deficit:

  1. A trade deficit happens when a country imports more goods and services than it exports.
  2. A high trade deficit means more money is going out of the country than coming in.
  3. A lower trade deficit is usually better for the economic stability of a country.

Key Highlights

  1. Export Growth
    1. Total exports rose 2.8% to $71.1 billion in May 2025 (from $69.2 billion in May 2024).
    2. Service exports were the major contributor, growing by 9.4% to $32.4 billion.
    3. Merchandise exports, however, contracted 2.2% to $38.7 billion.
    4. Non-Petroleum exports grew 5.1% in May 2025.
  2. Import Trends
    1. Total imports in May 2025 saw a slight decline.
    2. Merchandise imports fell by 1.7% in May 2025, affected by lower oil prices.
    3. Non-petroleum imports grew 10% in May 2025.
    4. Services imports rose 1.5% in May 2025..
  3. Trade Balance Overview
    1. Positive trade balance in services helped offset merchandise trade deficit.

Key Terms:

  1. Exports
    1. Goods and services that a country sells to other countries.
    2. They bring money into the country and are important for economic growth.
    3. Total Exports: The combined value of merchandise and services sold to other countries.
    4. Service Exports: When India sells services like IT, software, banking, etc., to other countries.
    5. Merchandise Exports: These are physical goods like textiles, electronics, machinery, etc., sold to other countries.
    6. Non-Petroleum Exports: These are exports of goods excluding oil and petroleum products.
  2. Imports:
    1. Goods and services that a country buys from other countries.
    2. High imports mean more outflow of money from the country.
    3. Merchandise Imports: Physical goods that India buys from abroad, such as oil, electronics, gold, etc.
    4. Non-Petroleum Imports: Imports that exclude crude oil and petroleum products.
    5. Services Imports: Services bought from other countries, like foreign consultancy or software.
  3. Trade Balance:
    1. It is the difference between exports and imports of a country.
    2. If imports > exports → Trade Deficit
    3. If exports > imports → Trade Surplus

Implications for India:

  1.  Reduced Trade Deficit is a good sign for the Indian Economy:
    1. India’s services sector is doing well, even when goods exports are not.
    2. This helps balance the trade.
    3. The surplus in services helps to cover up merchandise deficit.
  2. Helps Reduce Current Account Deficit (CAD):
    1. A current account deficit occurs when the total value of goods and services a country imports exceeds the total value of goods and services it exports.
    2. A smaller trade deficit means less money is going out of the country.
    3. This is good for India’s economy.
  3.  India still depends on Global Prices:
    1. India’s exports still depend a lot on world prices, especially oil.
    2. If oil prices go up or down, India’s trade gets affected.

Challenges and Way Forward:

Challenges

Way Forward

1. Oil Price Volatility: Global oil prices keep changing, raising India’s import bill, especially for crude oil.

1. Diversify Export Basket: Boost non-oil exports like electronics, pharma, green tech to reduce dependency on oil.

2. Low Merchandise Export Growth: India’s goods exports are weak and less competitive globally.

2. Make Exports Competitive: Improve product quality, support MSMEs, and sign trade agreements

3. Overdependence on Services Exports: Too much reliance on IT & service exports is risky in global slowdowns.

3. Balanced Export Strategy: Strengthen manufacturing exports to reduce risk from service dependency.

4. High Dependence on Imports: India imports many essential items like electronics, fuels, chips.

4. Import Substitution: Promote domestic production of key goods (like semiconductors, solar modules) under schemes like PLI.

5. Weak Trade Infrastructure: Poor logistics, port delays, and high costs affect trade.

5. Improve Trade Infrastructure: Build better ports, roads, and digital systems to lower cost and time.

 

Ensure IAS Mains Question:

Q. India’s trade performance in recent months shows contrasting trends in goods and services. Analyse the reasons and suggest steps to strengthen overall export growth.(150 words)

 

Ensure IAS Prelims Question:

Q. With reference to India’s trade trends in May 2025, consider the following statements:

  1. Service exports showed a higher growth rate than merchandise exports.
  2. Non-petroleum imports declined significantly.
  3. A positive trade balance in services helped reduce the overall trade deficit.

Which of the statements given above is/are correct?

  1. 1 and 2 only
  2. 1 and 3 only
  3. 2 and 3 only
  4. 1, 2 and 3

Answer: b

Explanation:

Statement 1 is correct: In May 2025, service exports grew by 9.4%, while merchandise exports contracted by 2.2%, indicating stronger performance of services over goods.

Statement 2 is incorrect: Non-petroleum imports actually increased by 10% in May 2025, showing higher demand for non-oil goods.

Statement 3 is correct: The surplus in services trade helped offset the deficit in merchandise trade, leading to an overall narrowing of India’s trade deficit to $6.6 billion.

 

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