| Important questions for UPSC Pre/ Mains/ Interview:
1. What is distinctive about the Economic Survey 2025–26? 2. What is the core idea of “entrepreneurial policymaking under uncertainty”? 3. What early signals indicate the emergence of an entrepreneurial State in India? 4. How does the Survey assess India’s macroeconomic position amid global turbulence? 5. What global headwinds complicate India’s development ambitions? 6. What global scenarios does the Survey outline for 2026? 7. What relative strengths position India favourably across these scenarios? 8. What does the Survey mean by “running a marathon and sprint simultaneously”? 9. What challenges does the Survey identify for India’s policy framework? 10.What is the way forward towards Viksit Bharat? |
Context
The Economic Survey 2025–26, tabled in Parliament, highlights India’s post-Covid resilience and makes a normative case for an entrepreneurial, adaptive State to pursue Viksit Bharat amid global uncertainty.
Q1. What is distinctive about the Economic Survey 2025–26?
- The Survey has been reconfigured structurally and thematically to reflect national priorities.
- It expands to 17 chapters, indicating greater analytical depth and breadth.
- Chapters are rearranged by relevance, not conventional sequencing.
- Special essays address:
- Evolution and implications of Artificial Intelligence.
- Quality of life in Indian cities.
- Role of state capacity, private sector, and households in building strategic resilience and indispensability.
- The Preface departs from standard macroeconomic narration to articulate a governance philosophy.
Q2. What is the core idea of “entrepreneurial policymaking under uncertainty”?
- The Survey argues for a fundamental shift in the role of the State.
- From risk-averse, compliance-centric governance → to risk-structuring, capability-driven and adaptive governance.
- An entrepreneurial State:
- Acts before certainty emerges, instead of waiting for perfect information.
- Manages and shares risk, rather than avoiding it.
- Learns from systematic experimentation, correcting course without policy paralysis.
- Crucially, this vision is presented as already unfolding, not merely aspirational.
Q3. What early signals indicate the emergence of an entrepreneurial State in India?
- Mission-mode initiatives such as semiconductors and green hydrogen platforms.
- Public procurement reforms that support first-of-its-kind domestic innovations.
- State-level deregulation compacts, shifting from inspection-based controls to trust-based compliance.
- A broader transition from rule-enforcement to capability-building governance.
Q4. How does the Survey assess India’s macroeconomic position amid global turbulence?
- Despite Covid-19 disruptions, tariff shocks (April 2025), and rising fragmentation, India shows strong macro fundamentals.
- Real GDP growth is projected at over 7% in 2025–26, with continued momentum.
- However, the Survey identifies a “Paradox of 2025”:
- India’s strongest macro performance coincides with a global system that no longer reliably rewards prudence with currency stability, capital inflows, or insulation from shocks.
Q5. What global headwinds complicate India’s development ambitions?
- India aims to become a high-income country within a generation, while remaining democratic—without any global precedent.
- The Survey notes:
- Retreat of the dominant global power from earlier stabilising commitments.
- Rising trade frictions, geopolitical rivalries, and economic nationalism.
- These headwinds can become tailwinds only if State, markets and households act in alignment over the long term.
Q6. What global scenarios does the Survey outline for 2026?
- Managed disorder: Less coordination, higher risk aversion, integrated but distrustful global system.
- Disorderly multipolar breakdown: Strategic rivalries, coercive trade, sanctions, and supply chain fragmentation.
- Systemic shock cascade (low probability, high impact): Financial, technological, and geopolitical shocks reinforcing each other—potentially worse than the 2008 crisis.
Q7. What relative strengths position India favourably across these scenarios?
- A large domestic market that cushions external shocks.
- A less financialised growth model, reducing vulnerability to sudden reversals.
- Strong foreign exchange reserves.
- Credible strategic autonomy in foreign and economic policy.
- Yet, across all scenarios, risks remain from capital flow disruptions and sustained rupee pressures.
Q8. What does the Survey mean by “running a marathon and sprint simultaneously”?
- Rising incomes will inevitably increase import demand, requiring strong export earnings and investor confidence.
- External sector strategy for 2026 emphasises:
- Supply stability and resource buffers.
- Diversification of trade routes and payment systems.
- Strategic sobriety, not defensive pessimism.
- India must maximise growth while absorbing shocks, sustaining pace without losing balance.
Q9. What challenges does the Survey identify for India’s policy framework?
- Policy reforms vs process reforms:
- Policies set intent, but processes determine outcomes through state–citizen interactions.
- Other challenges include:
- Global geopolitical fragmentation and economic coercion.
- Capital flow volatility and exchange-rate pressures.
- Need for faster institutional learning and adaptation.
- Balancing high growth with resilience and macro-stability.
Q10. What is the way forward towards Viksit Bharat?
- Integrate three pillars:
- Strengthened state capacity.
- Societal participation and trust-based governance.
- Deepened deregulation and process reform.
- Strategic priorities:
- Build buffers, redundancy and liquidity.
- Invest in institutional learning and administrative capability.
- Align state, market and society behind long-term national goals.
- Prefer delayed gratification and resilience over short-term fixes.
- The Survey views global crises as a strategic opportunity for India to shape the emerging order and enhance indispensability.
Conclusion
The Economic Survey 2025–26 reframes India’s development strategy for an uncertain world, advocating an entrepreneurial, resilient State. Sustaining high growth while absorbing shocks requires patience, institutional agility and strategic sobriety on the path to Viksit Bharat.


